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Saturday, May 31, 2014

DAILY FOREX MARKET ANALYSIS AND REPORT 2/june/2014

 Forex reserves fall to $312.66 billion as of May 23: RBI 

India's foreign exchange reserves fell to $312.66 billion as of May 23  compared with $314.93 billion in the week earlier, the Reserve Bank of  India said on Friday. 

Changes in foreign currency assets, expressed in dollar terms, include  the effect of appreciation or depreciation of other currencies held in its  reserves, the RBI said in its weekly statistical supplement. 

Foreign exchange reserves include India's Reserve Tranche position in the International Monetary Fund ( IMF). 

 Yen rally slackens off, all eyes on ECB meeting 

The yen levelled off on Friday but still looked set to rack up its best gains  for months after a jumbled week of currency moves that has broadly seen the dollar strengthen and the euro and sterling fall. 

The Australian dollar, this week's biggest gainer among the major  currency pairs, also added to some hefty gains in the previous session  but was bumping up against resistance around $0.9320. 

Attention is now firmly focussed on next week's European Central Bank  policy meeting, expected to deliver more policy easing. It comes at a  time when the conviction of many that the Bank of Japan would do similarly this summer has been shaken, underpinning the rise for the  yen to three-month highs against the euro. 

Likewise, while the dollar has gained this week, U.S. Treasury yields  have fallen and dealers said there was talk of some substantial fund  option bets on the yen strengthening to as little as 98 per dollar over the  next month. 

"We still have a bias towards a weaker dollar. Against the yen in  particular there is still the danger of some sort of a snapback, just to  clear out some stale yen shorts," said Adam Cole, global head of FX  strategy with RBC Capital Markets in London.

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